Example: Gravity Model Calculation

Let's perform a simplified Trip Distribution calculation using the Gravity Model.

Example

Problem Statement: Traffic Analysis Zone 1 produces 1,000 trips daily (P1=1000P_1 = 1000). Zones 2 and 3 are the only available destination zones, attracting 2,000 (A2A_2) and 3,000 (A3A_3) trips respectively.
  • The travel time from Zone 1 to Zone 2 (t12t_{12}) is 10 minutes.
  • The travel time from Zone 1 to Zone 3 (t13t_{13}) is 20 minutes.
  • Assume the friction factor function is Fij=1/tij2F_{ij} = 1/t_{ij}^2 and all KK factors are 1.0.
Determine the number of trips distributed from Zone 1 to Zone 2 (T12T_{12}) and Zone 1 to Zone 3 (T13T_{13}).

Solution: Gravity Model Calculation

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Example: Trip Generation Calculation

Trip generation determines the number of trips that will begin or end in a specific traffic analysis zone (TAZ).

Example

Problem Statement: A new residential development is planned for TAZ 1. It will contain 200 households. On average, each household will own 1.5 cars. A transportation planner uses the following linear regression model to estimate the number of trips generated (TiT_i) per day by a zone:
Ti=0.5+2.1(HH)+3.5(Cars)T_i = 0.5 + 2.1(HH) + 3.5(Cars)
Calculate the total number of trips generated by TAZ 1 per day.
Given:
  • Number of households (HHHH) = 200
    • Total cars in the zone (CarsCars) = 200×1.5=300200 \times 1.5 = 300
    • Trip generation model: Ti=0.5+2.1(HH)+3.5(Cars)T_i = 0.5 + 2.1(HH) + 3.5(Cars)

Step-by-Step Solution

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Example: Mode Choice Analysis

Mode choice (Modal Split) predicts the probability that an individual will choose a specific mode of transportation based on utility.

Example

Problem Statement: Commuters traveling from a suburb to downtown can choose between driving (Auto) or taking a bus (Transit). A logit model estimates the utilities of these modes as:
  • Utility of Auto (UAU_A) = -1.2
  • Utility of Transit (UTU_T) = -2.5
Calculate the probability that a commuter will choose to drive using the multinomial logit model formula. If there are 5,000 daily commuters, how many are expected to drive?
Given: The probability (PmP_m) of choosing mode mm is given by:
Pm=eUmeUkP_m = \frac{e^{U_m}}{\sum e^{U_k}}
  • UA=1.2U_A = -1.2
  • UT=2.5U_T = -2.5
  • Total Commuters (NN) = 5000

Step-by-Step Solution

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Example: Route Assignment (All-or-Nothing)

Traffic assignment allocates the expected trips between origins and destinations onto the actual transportation network routes.

Example

Problem Statement: A transportation network has two possible routes connecting Node A (Origin) to Node B (Destination). Route 1 has a free-flow travel time of 15 minutes, and Route 2 has a free-flow travel time of 20 minutes. There are 1,200 vehicles moving from Node A to Node B. If an "All-or-Nothing" assignment model is used, determine how the traffic is assigned to the network.
Given: The All-or-Nothing assignment model assigns all traffic demand to the single route with the shortest travel time, regardless of capacity constraints or congestion.

Step-by-Step Solution

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