Examples of calculating variances, indices, and forecasting completion costs.
Example 1: Basic EVM Calculation (Variances and Indices)
Determining project health using SV, CV, SPI, and CPI.
A construction project has a total original baseline budget of \100,000.Attheendofmonth3,theprojectmanagerreviewsthestatus.Accordingtothebaselineschedule,40%oftheworkshouldhavebeencompletedbytoday.However,aphysicalsiteinspectionrevealsthatonly35%oftheworkhasactuallybeencompleted.Theaccountingdepartmentreportsthat$40,000$ has been paid out so far.
Calculate the Schedule Variance (SV), Cost Variance (CV), Schedule Performance Index (SPI), and Cost Performance Index (CPI).
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Example 2: Forecasting Completion Costs (EAC and ETC)
Calculating the Estimate at Completion and Estimate to Complete for an underperforming project.
A \500,000baselinebudgethighwayproject(BudgetatCompletion,BAC=$500,000)hasreacheditsmidwaymilestone.Theprojectmanager′sEVMreportshowsanEarnedValue(EV)of$200,000,buttheActualCosts(AC)incurredtoachievethatvalueare$250,000$.
Assuming the current cost performance inefficiencies will continue unchanged for the remainder of the project, calculate the Estimate at Completion (EAC) and the Estimate to Complete (ETC).
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Example 3: EVM for an Over-Performing Project
Calculating variances and forecasts for a project that is ahead of schedule and under budget.
A software development project has a total budget of \120,000(BAC).Atthecurrentmilestone,theprojectwasscheduledtohaveearned$60,000invalue(PV).However,theteamhascompletedworkvaluedat$75,000(EV),andtheiractualrecordedcoststodateareonly$65,000$ (AC).
Calculate the Cost Variance (CV), Schedule Variance (SV), and the new Estimate at Completion (EAC) assuming this positive performance rate continues.
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Example 4: To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI)
Calculating the required efficiency level needed to meet the original budget goal after poor initial performance.
A project has a BAC of \80,000.Currently,theEarnedValue(EV)is$30,000andtheActualCost(AC)is$40,000.Theprojectmanageristoldthatnomorefundswillbeapproved,meaningtheteam∗must∗finishtheprojectwithintheoriginal$80,000$ budget.
Calculate the To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) based on the original BAC.
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Key Takeaways
The core indices provide a snapshot of health: SPI and CPI less than 1.0 indicate the project is falling behind or burning cash too fast.
Estimating final project costs (EAC) uses the current CPI to extrapolate future spending efficiency mathematically.
Estimate to Complete (ETC) determines exactly how much new capital is required to finish the project from the current status date forward.
The To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) is a goal-seeking metric, showing management exactly how efficient the team must be to recover from past losses and hit the original budget.